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XRP ETF Approval Odds Surge to 99%: Market Optimism Meets Expert Caution

XRP ETF Approval Odds Surge to 99%: Market Optimism Meets Expert Caution

Author:
XRP News
Published:
2025-10-07 22:14:17
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[TRADE_PLUGIN]XRPUSDT,XRPUSDT[/TRADE_PLUGIN]

The cryptocurrency market is witnessing unprecedented optimism surrounding XRP as prediction platform Polymarket indicates a staggering 99% probability of SEC approval for a Ripple-backed ETF by 2025. This overwhelming market confidence reflects the growing institutional appetite for cryptocurrency investment vehicles that bridge traditional and digital finance. The speculation has dominated crypto headlines, with traders and investors positioning themselves for what appears to be an imminent regulatory breakthrough. However, Flare Network co-founder Hugo Philion presents a contrasting viewpoint, suggesting potential challenges ahead for XRP's long-term relevance despite the ETF enthusiasm. This divergence between market sentiment and expert analysis creates a fascinating dynamic in the crypto space, where short-term regulatory developments clash with longer-term technological considerations. The near-certainty of ETF approval represents a significant milestone for XRP and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem, potentially opening the floodgates for institutional capital and mainstream adoption. Market participants are closely monitoring the situation, balancing the immediate prospects of ETF-driven price appreciation against concerns about sustainable utility and competitive positioning in the evolving digital asset landscape. As the 2025 deadline approaches, the crypto community remains divided between those celebrating the regulatory progress and those questioning whether ETF approval alone can secure XRP's position in the rapidly maturing cryptocurrency market. This tension between regulatory validation and technological innovation continues to shape investment strategies and market sentiment across the digital asset sector.

XRP ETF Approval Odds Surge to 99%, but Expert Predicts Diminishing Relevance

XRP dominates crypto headlines as speculation mounts over SEC approval for a Ripple-backed ETF. Prediction platform Polymarket reflects near-certainty among traders, with 99% odds favoring a 2025 launch. This Optimism mirrors the broader market's appetite for crypto investment vehicles bridging traditional and digital finance.

Flare Network co-founder Hugo Philion offers a contrarian perspective, forecasting ETF obsolescence within five years. "ETFs serve as a transitional product for legacy investors," he noted during a recent podcast appearance. Demographic shifts will drive direct blockchain adoption as younger, crypto-native generations accumulate wealth.

Structural economic pressures—mounting national debts, pension shortfalls, and macroeconomic instability—could accelerate this transition. Philion suggests these factors will compel faster adoption of decentralized finance solutions than currently anticipated.

XRP on the Brink: Will the Market Shakeout Lead to a Strong Recovery?

XRP's price edged up 0.76% to $2.78, yet a 7.07% weekly decline hints at a potential final capitulation before a rebound. The token faltered at the $3.00 resistance level, sliding below its $2.79 Fibonacci support as selling pressure intensified.

Analysts pinpoint $2.715 as a critical floor—holding this level could prevent new correction lows. Divergence signals on higher timeframes suggest accumulating bullish momentum, though short-term volatility persists.

Trading volume dipped 8.21% to $8.42 billion, reflecting market hesitancy. CasiTrades notes the RSI confirms dominant bearish control, but the impending shakeout may pave the way for renewed upside.

XRP Holds $2.70 Support as Analysts Eye $3.20 Rebound Amid ETF Momentum

XRP's ability to defend the $2.70 support level is drawing attention as analysts project a potential rebound toward $3.20. The cryptocurrency, currently trading NEAR $2.80, has oscillated between $2.70 and $3.18 over the past month, establishing a range that traders are monitoring closely.

Technical indicators reveal weakening demand, with the RSI hovering near 40, while the MACD stabilizes as selling pressure subsides. A sustained hold above $2.70 could pave the way for a rally to $3.20, with a breakout potentially targeting July's high of $3.66. Conversely, failure to maintain this level risks a decline toward $2.20–$2.50.

Institutional interest grows as XRP joins Hashdex's Nasdaq ETF expansion, with BlackRock highlighting rising demand for crypto ETFs. Market sentiment hinges on XRP's ability to consolidate above critical support.

XRP Ledger Positioned as Foundation for Institutional DeFi, Says Ripple CTO David Schwartz

Ripple CTO David Schwartz envisions decentralized finance (DeFi) capturing a substantial share of traditional finance within the next few years. Tokenized assets and on-chain credit are pivotal in bridging the gap between traditional financial systems and decentralized networks.

The XRP Ledger, co-created by Schwartz, is designed specifically for tokenized assets, catering to institutional demands for efficiency and tailored financial services. Corporations like Amazon and Uber are driving this shift, seeking solutions beyond conventional banking.

Blockchain neutrality and institutional adoption must coexist to foster financial innovation. The sector must MOVE beyond speculative assets and deliver real-world financial products that meet consumer and business expectations.

XRP Tundra Adopts BlackRock-Style Investment Framework in Crypto Presale

XRP Tundra's presale mirrors institutional investment strategies, applying BlackRock's cryptocurrency framework at a startup scale. Fixed launch values, a two-token design, and liquidity protections via DAMM V2 demonstrate a disciplined approach uncommon in early-stage crypto projects.

The project's Phase 4 offers TUNDRA-S at $0.068 with a 16% bonus, plus free TUNDRA-X allocations valued at $0.034. Fixed launch prices of $2.50 and $1.25 respectively provide unprecedented transparency for a presale, a tactic recently spotlighted by Token Galaxy analysts as characteristic of institutional products.

BlackRock's growing crypto footprint—from tokenization investments to its spot Bitcoin ETF—highlights the market's shift toward verifiable on-chain positions and regulated exposure. XRP Tundra responds with staking mechanisms designed to generate predictable returns for retail participants, adapting institutional yield strategies for decentralized finance.

BlockDAG and XRP Tundra Presale Strategies Highlight Diverging Approaches in Crypto Fundraising

BlockDAG's record-breaking presale has set a new benchmark for crypto fundraising in 2025, leveraging Directed Acyclic Graph architecture and Proof-of-Work consensus. The project's tiered pricing model—which saw token prices surge from less than a cent to $0.03 across rounds—delivered early participants paper gains exceeding 2,900%. Its strategy of bundling hardware mining rigs and a mobile app with token sales successfully converted capital inflows into network participation.

In contrast, XRP Tundra is pursuing a measured approach focused on long-term holder retention. The project's fixed-price presale, dual-token model, and staking incentives for XRP holders prioritize sustainable mechanics over viral growth. This divergence underscores how crypto ventures are tailoring fundraising strategies to distinct visions—BlockDAG chasing scale through aggressive funnels, while XRP Tundra bets on structural incentives.

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